Fri 21 Mar 2008
Reversing the Flow of India’s Diaspora
Posted by Steve under Indian Business, Indian Current Events, Indians Abroad
An as yet barely noticed phenomenon is occurring among the ranks of overseas Indians — those expats who left India (or whose families did) to expand their economic opportunities in America, Europe or elsewhere. The outward flow is beginning to reverse.
Indian expats are returning home, many of them for good. The reason of course is the economic revolution that has begun in India. Old structures that created barriers to opportunity are at least being softened, if not broken down entirely. Widely noted is the growth of India’s middle class, a welcome development for any country that aspires to take its place among the developed nations of the world.
Contributing to India’s economic boom is the wider acceptance and practice of entrepreneurship, which entails risk-taking. The following article addresses the growing willingness of Indians–especially the young–to take risks, and what this portends for the country’s future.
The author also discusses the Indian stock market, which could be seen, before very long, as a quite attractive place to invest, even for foreigners. Stock markets in places such as India are, of course, not for the risk-averse. But it is their higher level of risks that also make them prime opportunities for those willing to gamble on the possibility of making a fortune.
India Growth Story
By Shail K Mehta
India has come out with robust growth of around 9%, is it because of reforms? Or global payers? Or is it our loose fiscal and monetary policy? What are the fundamental changes which are responsible for India’s rapid growth?
Economists, as usual, seek practical and verifiable answers; and we shun cultural and sociological reasoning whenever possible. But I think it is a more powerful force which has been guiding all the recent changes in India, the risk taking ability of youth.
Risk is indeed an economic concept - and an often measured one. It is usually applied to an individual’s risk aversion; a company or a country’s risk-premium; and generally for all significant financial transactions. What I’m trying to refer to, however, is a far broader change in the way Indians perceive risk, and how we respond to it.
Firstly - in what is now a common refrain - the private sector has completely transformed. Not only the private sector, the public sector enterprises have also drastically changed the way they work. Managers are beginning to accept the idea of relinquishing control, and are looking for creative sources of capital. Companies are getting aggressive with their expansion plans - sometimes too aggressive. Some corporates have even picked up a taste for overseas acquisitions (TATAs). There is an unmeasured commonality to all of this. Marketing gurus would call it “renewed self confidence”; cynics would call it dumb luck; I call it ‘taking risks’.
Now the risk tolerance is not confined to the merchants of wealth alone - it is gradually beginning to infect the government too. Begrudgingly, it is either internally corporatizing; listening to outside voices and sharing responsibility; or in some cases, completely moving out of the way in areas where it knows it is underperforming: infrastructure, finance, education, health. Its manner of doing so is bumbling and idiotic (for instance the recent SEZ debacle), but the change in its intention is mostly clear. Of course, our politicians have fickle wills so that could quickly change - were it not for the third, and most important observation.
Indian families and individuals, are also becoming bigger risk takers, now they prefer investing in stock markets rather than putting their money in banks & post office deposits. I am a tail-ender in the great reverse migration - expats returning to India to take advantage of the new opportunities that are coming available. Two or three years ago, that was impossible. Today, for young people, the potential long-term rewards of returning to fast-growing India could be far greater than those from working on an overstretched Wall Street.
More fascinating than even the NRIs’ new risky behavior are the choices being made by the people I know in India. With more careers for their kids to choose from, parents from all income strata are seeing the value of a good and practical education and bypassing the government when necessary. Other examples abound: people are traveling a lot more for work, women are gradually entering the labor force.
The introduction of the culture of risk at this grassroot level ensures that all the other pieces move - that the government and companies are given the message to change. This new inflexion point in our behavior is at least partially the result of the burgeoning young population. And no one can really doubt that it is the old guard who are reluctant to admit that the doctrine of governing a society through babudom has lost.
Also with increase in the income levels due to the outsourcing industry the living standard & consumption is increasing rapidly which indeed is increasing the growth rate. So we can conclude that the Indian youth is the fountainhead of this growth and we need the participation of the youth to sustain this growth
BullRider - Indian stock market tips, share calls, nifty calls, intraday btst picks, nifty stock futures.
Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Shail_K_Mehta
http://EzineArticles.com/?India-Growth-Story&id=1020426
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